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Peter Turchin's avatar

Thanks for all these questions! Answers are forthcoming in the next post later this week.

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Ed Bouhl's avatar

I’m trying to summarize/paraphrase our current situation in the U.S. for personal planning purposes. Please comment if needed on any areas I’m misrepresenting.

1. The money pump has been running for decades and shows no signs of slowing.

2. Elite overproduction is advanced, also shows no signs of slowing, and has already resulted in a quiet overthrow of the federal government and many state governments.

3. Popular immiseration is deeply established, reflected in finances, health, and social mobility.

4. There are no quick fixes.

5. U.S. society is unstable, consistently becoming more unstable/undemocratic, and there are currently no significant corrective forces at work.

6. The U.S. can expected to remain unstable for the next several years, possibly 20+ years.

7. Best case scenario is a U.S. version of the U.K. ‘Troubles’.

8. Less favorable but plausible scenarios include various temperatures of cold to hot civil war, up to Spanish Civil War levels.

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