Cliodynamica by Peter Turchin

Cliodynamica by Peter Turchin

Well-being and Immiseration in Contemporary China

Structural-Demographic Analysis

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Peter Turchin
May 24, 2026
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Now that we have a better understanding of how social power operates and is reproduced in PRC (Stairway to Heaven I and Stairway to Heaven II), it’s time to dive into various quantitative proxies for the main Structural-Demographic mechanisms. In today’s post I will deal with the numbers on well-being/immiseration, and in future posts on elite and state dynamics.

The text below is based on a massive dataset that was collected by researchers in my team, most notably Samantha Holder (whose position is entirely supported by paid subscribers — many thanks to them! New readers: see About).

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